Global crude stainless steel production is predicted to reach a new record annual total of 42.2 million tonnes, in 2015, according to MEPS. This would exceed the previous high figure, set last year, by 1.2 percent.
Chinese production, in 2015, is now expected to turn out at 22.15 million tonnes. this represents a year-on-year increase of 2.1 percent. Demand for stainless steel has been negatively affected by disappointing consumption, at home and abroad, as well as by antidumping measures in Europe.
After recovering, in 2014, to record a year-on-year increase of 5 percent, to 3.33 million tonnes, Japanese output is predicted to fall back by 3 percent, this year, to total 3.23 million tonnes.
We forecast an annual outturn of 1.17 million tonnes, in Taiwan. While this represents a 5.2 percent advance on last year’s number, it is almost 65 percent less than the peak figure, achieved in 2006.
South Korea’s output has also slightly exceeded expectations during the early part of this year. MEPS forecasts 2.08 million tonnes – an increase of 2.8 percent over last year’s total.
The prediction for annual crude stainless steel output in the United States remains at 2.4 million tonnes. This equates to a 0.4 percent increase, compared with the 2014 total.
EU production has been below previous expectations during the first half of 2015, despite reduced competition from imports from the Far East. Our forecast for this year’s total outturn is 7.18 million tonnes, which would be nearly one percent less than the 2014 figure.
Source: MEPS
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